{
 "generated": "2026-10-06",
 "cases": [
  "blanche-v-lau",
  "chatrie-v-united-states",
  "cisco-v-doe",
  "fs-credit-opportunities-v-saba-capital-master",
  "hikma-v-amarin",
  "landor-v-louisiana",
  "learning-resources-v-trump",
  "little-v-hecox",
  "nrsc-v-fec",
  "sripetch-v-sec",
  "tm-v-univ-maryland-medical",
  "trump-v-cook",
  "west-virginia-v-bpj",
  "wolford-v-lopez"
 ],
 "note": "Retroactive: run after the decisions. Per-Justice lean = sign of the Justice's net score vs the actual vote; case winner = majority of the Justices' signs (tie = miss). Lift CI = case-level bootstrap of per-Justice accuracy minus our classifier on Claude Sonnet 4.6 (ours_fusion), 10k resamples; sonnet55 = the same classifier and inputs on Claude Sonnet 5.5. Method adopted for OT2026: rich/jev_noul.",
 "table": {
  "matched/ours_fusion": {
   "justice_correct": 78,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 8,
   "ties": 0,
   "cases": 14
  },
  "sonnet55": {
   "justice_correct": 88,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 10,
   "ties": 1,
   "cases": 14,
   "lift_vs_ours_ci95": [
    0.041,
    0.125
   ]
  },
  "matched/jev_fusion": {
   "justice_correct": 73,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 9,
   "ties": 0,
   "cases": 14,
   "lift_vs_ours_ci95": [
    -0.145,
    0.063
   ]
  },
  "matched/jev_side": {
   "justice_correct": 91,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 9,
   "ties": 0,
   "cases": 14,
   "lift_vs_ours_ci95": [
    0.033,
    0.19
   ]
  },
  "matched/jev_noul": {
   "justice_correct": 92,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 9,
   "ties": 0,
   "cases": 14,
   "lift_vs_ours_ci95": [
    0.04,
    0.197
   ]
  },
  "rich/jev_fusion": {
   "justice_correct": 87,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 9,
   "ties": 1,
   "cases": 14,
   "lift_vs_ours_ci95": [
    0.0,
    0.149
   ]
  },
  "rich/jev_side": {
   "justice_correct": 92,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 11,
   "ties": 0,
   "cases": 14,
   "lift_vs_ours_ci95": [
    0.041,
    0.189
   ]
  },
  "rich/jev_noul": {
   "justice_correct": 99,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 10,
   "ties": 0,
   "cases": 14,
   "lift_vs_ours_ci95": [
    0.098,
    0.25
   ]
  },
  "baseline/always_petitioner": {
   "justice_correct": 72,
   "justice_n": 122,
   "winner_correct": 10,
   "ties": 0,
   "cases": 14
  }
 },
 "report": "data/external/jev/decided_ot2025.md"
}